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Common oscillatory modes in geomagnetic activity, NAO index and surface air temperature records

Milan Palus
Institute of Computer Science, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Pod vodárenskou vezí 2, 182 07 Prague 8, Czech Republic

Dagmar Novotna
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Bocni II/1401, 141 31 Prague 4, Czech Republic


Detection and extraction of quasi-oscillatory dynamical modes from instrumental records of geophysical data became a useful tool in analysing variability of observed phenomena reflected in complex, multivariate geophysical signals. Using the extension of the Monte Carlo Singular System Analysis (MC SSA), based on evaluating and testing regularity of dynamics of the SSA modes against the colored noise null hypothesis, we demonstrate detection of oscillatory modes with period about 96 months in the long-term records of aa index as well as in the records of surface air temperature from several mid-latitude European locations and in the North Atlantic Oscillation index.

J. Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 69 (2007) 2405 -- 2415. -- doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2007.05.009

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Milan Palus 2007